Click the black button for the direct link to the paper
j o u r n a l p u b l i c a t i o n s
Grigoli, F., Clinton, J.F., Diehl, T., Kaestli, P., Scarabello, L., Agustsdottir, T., Kristjansdottir, S., Magnusson, R., Bean, C.J., Broccardo, M. and Cesca, S., (2022). Monitoring microseismicity of the Hengill Geothermal Field in Iceland. Journal: Scientific Data, Nature, 9(1), pp.1-1 DOI: 10.1038/s41597-022-01339-w
Chen, W., Wang, Z., Broccardo, M., and Song, J. (2022). Riemannian Manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo-based subset simulation for reliability analysis in non-Gaussian space. Journal: Structural Safety.(94), 102134 DOI: 10.1016/j.strusafe.2021.102134
Mignan, A., Broccardo, M. and Wang, Z., (2021). Comprehensive Survey of Seismic Hazard at Geothermal Sites by a Meta-Analysis of the Underground Feedback Activation Parameter af b. Journal: Energies.14(23), p.7998. DOI: 10.3390/en14237998
Broccardo, M., Der Kiureghian, A. (2021). Nonlinear stochastic dynamic analysis by evolutionary tail-equivalent linearization method. Journal: Structural Safety. DOI: doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2020.102044
Hofmann, H., Zimmermann, G., Huenges, E., Regenspurg, S., Aldaz, S., Milkereit, C., Heimann, S., Dahm, T., Zang, A., Grigoli, F., Broccardo, M., ..., and Arnadottir, S. (2021). Soft stimulation treatment of geothermal well RV-43 to meet the growing heat demand of Reykjavik.
Journal: Geothermics.(96), 102146 DOI: 10.1016/j.geothermics.2021.102146
Abbiati, G., Broccardo, M., di Filippo, R., Stojadinovic, B., and Bursi, O. S. (2021). Seismic fragility analysis of a coupled tank-piping system based on artificial ground motions and surrogate modeling. Journal: Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries.104575. DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2021.104575
Vassiliou, M.F., Cengiz, C., Dietz, M., Dihoru, L., Broccardo, M., Mylonakis, G., Sextos, A. and Stojadinovic, B. (2020). Dataset from the shake table tests of free-standing rocking bodies. Journal: Earthquake Spectra. DOI: doi.org/10.1177/8755293021102002
Abbiati, G., Broccardo, M., Abdallah, I., Marelli, S., Paolacci, F. (2021). Seismic fragility analysis based on artificial ground motions and surrogate modeling of validated structural simulators. Journal: Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics. DOI: doi.org/10.1002/eqe.3448
Vassiliou, M.F., Broccardo, M., Cengiz, C., Dietz, M., Dihoru, L., Gunay, S., Mosalam, K.M., Mylonakis, G., Sextos, A. and Stojadinovic, B. (2021). Shake table testing of a rocking podium: Results of a blind prediction contest. Journal: Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics. DOI: doi.org/10.1002/eqe.3386.
Vassiliou, M.F., Cengiz, C., Dietz, M., Dihoru, L., Broccardo, M., Mylonakis, G., Sextos, A. and Stojadinovic, B. (2020). Dataset from the shake table tests of a rocking podium structure. Journal: Earthquake Spectra. DOI: doi.org/10.1177/8755293020988017.
Wang, Z., Broccardo, M., Mignan, A., & Sornette, D. (2020). The dynamics of entropy in the COVID-19 outbreaks. Journal: Nonlinear Dynamics, 1-23. DOI: doi.org/10.1007/s11071-020-05871-5
Broccardo, M., Mignan, A., Grigoli, F., Karvounis, D., Rinaldi, A. P., Danciu, L., ..., Wiemer, S. (2020). Induced seismicity risk analysis of the hydraulic stimulation of a geothermal well on Geldinganes, Iceland. Journal: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 20(6), 1573-1593. DOI: doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1573-2020.
Mignan, A., and Broccardo, M. (2020). Comment on "Elastic strain energy and pore-fluid pressure control of aftershocks" by Terakawa et al. [Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 535 (2020) 116103]. Journal: Earth and Planetary Science Letters. 544, 116402. DOI: doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2020.116402.
Bodenmann, L., Galanis, P., Broccardo, M., and Stojadinović, B. (2020). The role of risk measures in making seismic upgrading decisions. Journal: Earthquake Spectra. DOI: doi.org/10.1177/8755293020919423.
Mignan, A., and Broccardo, M. (2020). Neural Network Applications in Earthquake Prediction (1994-2019): Meta-Analytic and Statistical Insights on Their Limitations. Journal: Seismological Research Letters. 1--13 DOI: doi.org/10.1785/0220200021.
Wang, Z., and Broccardo, M. (2020). A novel active learning-based Gaussian process metamodelling strategy for estimating the full probability distribution in forward UQ analysis. Journal: Structural Safety. (84), 101937. DOI: doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2020.101937
Mignan A., and Broccardo, M. (2019). One neuron versus deep learning in aftershock prediction. Nature. DOI: 10.1038/s41586-019-1582-8
Granello, G., Broccardo, M., Palermo, A., and Pampanin, S. (2019). Time-dependent seismic fragility curves for post-tensioned timber, Journal: Earthquake Spectra. DOI:10.1177/8755293019878196
Galanis, P., Broccardo, M., Bodenmann, L., and StojadinoviÊ, B. (2019). Discussion of “A Framework to Evaluate the Benefit of Seismic Upgrading.” Earthquake Spectra. 35(3), 1511-1514. DOI: doi.org/10.1193/041219EQS086A
Esposito, S., Stojadinovic, B., Babic, A., Dol ̆sek, M., Iqbal, S., Selva, J., Broccardo, M., Mignan, A., and Giardini, D. (2019). A risk-based multi-level methodology to stress test critical infrastructure systems. Journal: Journal of Infrastructure Systems. In Press. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000520
Mignan, A., Karvounis, D., Broccardo, M., Wiemer, S., & Giardini, D. (2019). Including seismic risk mitigation measures into the Levelized Cost Of Electricity in enhanced geothermal systems for optimal siting. Applied Energy, 238, 831-850. DOI: doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.109
Wang, Z., Broccardo M., and Song J. (2018). Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods for subset simulations in reliability analysis. Structural Safety. 76: 51–67. DOI: 10.1016/j.strusafe.2018.05.005
Didier, M., Broccardo, M., Esposito, S., and Stojadinovic, B. (2018). A compositional demand/supply framework to quantify the resilience of civil infrastructure systems (Re-CoDeS). Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure. 3(2): 86–102. DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2017.1364560
Broccardo, M., Mignan, A., Wiemer, S., Stojadinovic B., Giardini, D. (2017). Hierarchical Bayesian modeling for fluid-induced seismicity. Geophysical Research Letters. 44(22). DOI: 10.1002/2017GL075251
Mignan, A., Broccardo, M., Wiemer, S. and Giardini D. (2017). Induced seismicity closed-form traffic light system for actuarial decision-making during deep fluid injections. Scientific Reports, 7(1), 13607. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-13585-9
Broccardo, M., Der Kiureghian, A. (2017). Simulation of stochastic processes by sinc basis functions and application in TELM analysis. Journal of Engineering Mechanics. 144(1): 04017154. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)EM.1943-7889.0001374
Bachmann J.A., Strand M., Vassiliou M. F., Broccardo M., and Stojadinovic B. (2018). Is rocking motion predictable? Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics. 47(2): 535–552. DOI: 10.1002/eqe.2978
Vassiliou M. F., Burger S., Egger M., Bachmann J. A., Broccardo M., and Stojadinovic B. (2017). The three-dimensional behavior of inverted pendulum cylindrical structures during earthquakes. Earthquake Engineering & Structural Dynamics. 46(14): 2261–2280. DOI: 10.1002/eqe.2903
Broccardo, M., Der Kiureghian, A. (2016). Multicomponent nonlinear stochastic dynamic analysis by tail-equivalent linearization. Journal of Engineering Mechanics, 142(3): 04015100. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)EM.1943-7889.0001026
Wang, Z., Broccardo, M., and Der Kiureghian, A. (2016). An algorithm for finding a sequence of design points in reliability analysis. Structural Safety, 58: 52–59. DOI: 10.1016/j.strusafe.2015.09.004
Broccardo, M., Micheloni, M., and Krysl, P. (2009). Assumed-deformation gradient finite elements with nodal integration for nearly incompressible large deformation analysis. International Journal for Numerical Methods in Engineering, 78(9): 1113–1134. DOI: 10.1002/nme.2521
b o o k c h a p t e r s
Mignan A., Broccardo M., Wiemer S., Giardini D. (2019) Autonomous Decision-Making Against Induced Seismicity in Deep Fluid Injections. Book: In: Ferrari A., Laloui L. (eds) Energy Geotechnics. SEG 2018. Springer Series in Geomechanics and Geoengineering. Springer, Cham. DOI: 10.1007/978- 3-319-99670-7_46
Broccardo, M., Alibrandi, U., Wang, Z., and Garrè, L. (2016). The tail-equivalent linearization method for nonlinear stochastic processes, genesis, and developments. Book: In: Gardoni P. (eds) Risk and Reliability Analysis: Theory and Applications (pp. 109-142). Springer, Cham. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-52425-2_6
Mignan, A., and Broccardo, M. (2019). A Deeper Look into “Deep Learning of Aftershock Patterns Following Large Earthquakes:” Illustrating First Principles in Neural Network Physical Interpretability. In International Work-Conference on Artificial Neural Networks (pp. 3-14). Springer, Cham.
c o n f e r e n c e p r o c e e d i n g s
Zhu, X., Broccardo, M. and Sudret, B., (2022). Use of generalized lambda models for seismic fragility analysis. In Proc. 8th Int. Symp. on Reliability Engineering and Risk Management (ISRERM), Hannover (Germany) September 4-7.
Su, M., Broccardo, M. and Wang, Z., (2022). A comparative study on the active learning based metamodeling methods for full probability distribution estimation. In Proc. ICOSSAR 2021- 2022,13th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability, 13-17 September 2022, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
Vassiliou, M.F., Broccardo, M., Cengiz, C., Dietz, M., Dihoru, L., Gunay, S., Mosalam, K.M., Mylonakis, G., Sextos, A. and Stojadinovic, B., (2021). 3D rocking motion: Blind prediction contest results and influence of evaluation metric on the rankings. In COMPDYN 2021: 8th EC- COMAS Thematic Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. National Technical University of Athens (NTUA).
Vassiliou, M.F., Broccardo, M., Cengiz, C., Dietz, M., Dihoru, L., Gunay, S., Mosalam, K.M., Mylonakis, G., Sextos, A. and Stojadinovic, B., (2021). CBlind Prediction Contest on the Shake Table Tests of a 3D Rocking Structure. In 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
(WCEE 2020-21).
Bodenmann, L., Galanis, P., Broccardo, M. and Stojadinovic, B., (2021). Comparison of different risk measures for portfolio-level earthquake risk assessment. In 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE 2020-21) (pp. 8c-0057)
Mignan, A. and Broccardo, M. (2019). A deeper look into ’deep learning of aftershock patterns following large earthquakes’: Illustrating first principles in neural network physical interpretability. In International work-conference on artificial neural networks ((pp. 3-14). Springer, Cham.
Bachmann, J., Strand, M., Vassiliou, M. F., Broccardo, M., and Stojadinovic, B. (2019). Modeling of rocking structures: Are our models good enough? In 2nd International Conference on Natural Hazards & Infrastructure (ICONHIC 2019)
Broccardo, M., Dabaghi, M. (2019). Preliminary Validation of a Spectral-Based Stochastic Ground Motion Model with a Non-Parametric Time-Modulating Function. ICASP13 International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering Seul May 26–30
Broccardo, M., Wang, Z., Song, J. (2019). Hamiltonian Monte Carlo-Subset Simulation (HMC-SS) methods for structural reliability analysis. ICASP13 International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering Seul May 26–30
Broccardo, M., Wang, Z., Marelli, S., Song, W., Sudret, B. (2018). Hamiltonian Monte Carlo-based subset simulation using surrogate models. IFIP WG 7.5 Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems Zürich June 26–29.
Abbiati, G., Broccardo, M., Marelli, S., Sudret, B., and Stojadinovic B. (2018). Hybrid simulation of structural systems exposed to stochastic seismic loading based on Kriging surrogate modeling: methodology and numerical examples. IFIP WG 7.5 Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems Zürich June 26–29.
Granello, G., Broccardo, M., Palermo, A., and Pampanin S. (2018). Fragility curves for post-tensioned timber frames. 16th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering Thessaloniki 18–21 June.
Abbiati, G., Broccardo, M. Didier, M., Beyer, K., and Stojadinovic, B.(2018). Development of a probabilistic model for predicting cracks on unreinforced masonry wall plaster caused by induced- seismic hazard. 16th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering Thessaloniki 18–21 June.
Bachmann, J. A., Strand, M., Vassiliou, M. F., Broccardo, M., and Stojadinovic, B. (2018). Validation of planar rocking motion models. 16th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering Thessaloniki 18–21 June.
Bachmann, J. A., Strand, M., Vassiliou, M. F., Broccardo, M., and Stojadinovic, B. (2018). Rocking Motion: chaos and seismic design. 16th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering Thessaloniki 18–21 June.
Abbiati, G., Broccardo, M., Petrovic, M., Mojsilovic, B., and Stojadinovic, B. (2018). Calibration of a probabilistic fatigue model for predicting plaster cracks on unreinforced masonry walls caused by fluid induced seismic hazard. 11th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering Los Angeles, California 25–29 June.
Galanis, P., Bodenmann, L., Broccardo, M., and Stojadinovic, B. (2018). The financial benefit of earthquake retrofitting in different hazard environments. 11th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering Los Angeles, California 25–29 June.
Bachmann, J. A., Strand, M., Vassiliou, M. F., Broccardo, M., and Stojadinovic, B. (2018). Rocking motion: chaotic or not chaotic, does it matter for seismic design? 11th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering Los Angeles, California 25–29 June.
Broccardo, M., Dabaghi M. (2017). A spectral-based stochastic ground motion model with a non- parametric time-modulating function. 12th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability (ICOSSAR), Vienna 6–10 August.
Bachmann, J. A., Strand, M., Vassiliou, M. F., Broccardo, M., and Stojadinovic, B. (2017). Probabilistic Validation of the Housner Rocking Model. 6th ECCOMAS Thematic Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering (COMPDYN 2017), Rodos 15–17 June.
Didier, M., Abbiati, G., Broccardo, M., Beyer, K., Danciu, L., Petrović, Milos, Mojsilović, N., and Stojadinović, Bozidar (2017). Quantification of non-structural damage in unreinforced masonry walls induced by geothermal reservoir exploration using quasi-static cycling tests. 13th Canadian Masonry Symposium, Halifax, Canada 6–10 August.
Broccardo M., Danciu L., Stojadinovic B., and Wiemer S. (2017). Individual and societal risk metrics as parts of a risk governance framework for induced seismicity, 16th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE), Santiago, Chile.
Galanis P., Broccardo M., and Stojadinovic B. (2017) A financial decision-making framework for managing earthquake risk of existing buildings: an application in Switzerland and Italy, 16th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE), Santiago, Chile.
Wang., Z., Li Z., and Broccardo M. (2017). Nonlinear stochastic dynamic analysis of seismically isolated structures using tail-equivalent linearization method, 16th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE), Santiago, Chile.
Didier, M., Grauvogl, B., Steentoft A., Broccardo, M., Ghosh, S., and Stojadinovic, B. (2017). Assessment of post-disaster community infrastructure services demand using Bayesian networks, 16th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE), Santiago, Chile.
Broccardo, M., Esposito, S., Galanis, P., and Stojadinovic B. (2016). Application of the PEER-PBEE framework for probabilistic resilience assessment of a structural systems. International Symposium on Sustainability and Resiliency of Infrastructure, Taipei, Taiwan.
Broccardo, M., Galanis, P., Esposito, S., and Stojadinovic B. (2015). Probabilistic resilience assessment of civil systems: Analysis and validity of the PEER framework. Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems: ESREL, Zürich, Switzerland. P.331.
Broccardo, M., and Der Kiureghian, A. (2014). Simulation of near-fault ground motion using frequency- domain discretization 10th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Anchorage, Alaska.
Broccardo, M., and Der Kiureghian, A. (2013). Nonstationary stochastic dynamic analysis by tail-equivalent linearization. 11th International Conference On Structural Safety and Reliability, ICOSSAR, New York.
Broccardo, M., and Der Kiureghian, A. (2012). Discretization of stochastic processes in time domain by sinc basis function and application in TELM analysis. 16th Conf. of the Int. Federation of Information Processing (IFIP) Working Group 7.5 on Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems, Yerevan, Armenia.
Broccardo, M., and Der Kiureghian, A. (2012). Multicomponent nonlinear stochastic dynamic analysis using tail-equivalent linearization method. 15th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, (WCEE) Lisbon, Portugal.